PITCHER MATCHUP

Germán Márquez vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Germán Márquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Germán Márquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .347Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Knuckle Curve 34%Sinker 18%Slider 10%Changeup 3%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Germán Márquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-24 game page →