PITCHER MATCHUP

Germán Márquez vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Germán Márquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Germán Márquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .349Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Knuckle Curve 33%Sinker 18%Slider 10%Changeup 3%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Germán Márquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.