PITCHER MATCHUP
George Kirby vs Minnesota Twins
How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
George Kirby's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Sweeper 27%Sinker 23%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 2%
How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .309
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1 BL Brooks Lee SH .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JB Josh Bell SH .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KC Kody Clemens SH .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 VC Victor Caratini SH .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 AM Austin Martin RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.