PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Sweeper 28%Sinker 24%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-02 game page →