PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Sweeper 28%Sinker 23%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 2%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 599 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EA Edwin Arroyo SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edwin Arroyo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.