PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Sweeper 28%Sinker 23%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 2%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.