PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Sweeper 28%Sinker 24%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 562 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JB JJ Bleday LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-20 game page →