PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Sweeper 27%Sinker 23%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 2%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .270
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.