PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Sweeper 28%Sinker 23%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 2%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .302
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .264
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .222 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.