PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Sweeper 28%Sinker 24%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 5%Splitter 3%Cutter 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .302
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-08 game page →