PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Sweeper 28%Sinker 23%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.