PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Sweeper 28%Sinker 24%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 5%Splitter 3%Cutter 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 677 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 578 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .429 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-25 game page →