PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Sweeper 27%Sinker 24%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LT Leody Taveras SH .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Coby Mayo RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.