PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Sweeper 28%Sinker 23%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 2%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.