PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Sweeper 28%Sinker 24%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LT Leody Taveras SH .273
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Coby Mayo RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.