PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Sweeper 27%Sinker 23%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 2%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 556 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.