PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Sweeper 28%Sinker 24%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 5%Splitter 3%Cutter 2%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.