PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Sweeper 28%Sinker 24%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Joe Mack LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-08 game page →