PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Sweeper 28%Sinker 23%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 2%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.