PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Sweeper 28%Sinker 24%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-05 game page →