PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Sweeper 28%Sinker 23%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 4%Splitter 3%Cutter 2%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.