PITCHER MATCHUP

George Kirby vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against George Kirby's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

George Kirby's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Sweeper 28%Sinker 24%Knuckle Curve 10%Changeup 5%Splitter 3%Cutter 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against George Kirby, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 GS George Springer RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.