PITCHER MATCHUP

Gage Jump vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gage Jump's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gage Jump's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 22%Curveball 11%Changeup 9%Sweeper 7%Sinker 5%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gage Jump, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BB Byron Buxton RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-25 game page →