PITCHER MATCHUP
Gage Jump vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gage Jump's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Gage Jump's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 22%Curveball 11%Changeup 9%Sweeper 6%Sinker 5%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gage Jump, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .323
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 RG Riley Greene LHB .347
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JB Javier Báez SH .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.