PITCHER MATCHUP

Gage Jump vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gage Jump's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gage Jump's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Slider 22%Curveball 13%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%Sinker 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gage Jump, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-02 game page →