PITCHER MATCHUP
Gage Jump vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gage Jump's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Gage Jump's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 22%Curveball 11%Changeup 9%Sweeper 6%Sinker 5%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gage Jump, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .322
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 RG Riley Greene LHB .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JB Javier Báez SH .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 MC Max Clark LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.