PITCHER MATCHUP

Gage Jump vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gage Jump's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gage Jump's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Slider 22%Curveball 13%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%Sinker 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gage Jump, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-28 game page →