PITCHER MATCHUP

Gage Jump vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gage Jump's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gage Jump's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 22%Curveball 11%Changeup 9%Sweeper 6%Sinker 5%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gage Jump, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 637 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Adley Rutschman SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Trevor Story RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CW Connor Wong RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EW Eli White RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.