PITCHER MATCHUP
Gage Jump vs Miami Marlins
How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gage Jump's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Gage Jump's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 22%Curveball 11%Changeup 9%Sweeper 6%Sinker 5%
How the Miami Marlins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gage Jump, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .325
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1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JM Joe Mack LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .371
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .433 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.