PITCHER MATCHUP
Gage Jump vs Miami Marlins
How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gage Jump's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Gage Jump's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 22%Curveball 12%Changeup 9%Sweeper 6%Sinker 3%
How the Miami Marlins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gage Jump, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .321
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1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JM Joe Mack LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .355
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.