PITCHER MATCHUP

Gage Jump vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gage Jump's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gage Jump's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 22%Curveball 11%Changeup 9%Sweeper 6%Sinker 5%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gage Jump, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 565 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 618 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-06 game page →