PITCHER MATCHUP

Gage Jump vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gage Jump's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gage Jump's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 22%Curveball 11%Changeup 9%Sweeper 6%Sinker 5%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gage Jump, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.