PITCHER MATCHUP

Gabriel Hughes vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gabriel Hughes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gabriel Hughes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Changeup 12%Curveball 11%Sinker 9%Slider 9%Sweeper 8%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gabriel Hughes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .381
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .425 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 567 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-08 game page →