PITCHER MATCHUP

Gabriel Hughes vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gabriel Hughes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gabriel Hughes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .278vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Changeup 12%Curveball 11%Sinker 10%Slider 9%Sweeper 8%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gabriel Hughes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-13 game page →