PITCHER MATCHUP

Gabriel Hughes vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gabriel Hughes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gabriel Hughes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Changeup 12%Curveball 10%Slider 9%Sinker 9%Sweeper 8%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gabriel Hughes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 598 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EA Edwin Arroyo SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edwin Arroyo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.