PITCHER MATCHUP

Gabriel Hughes vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gabriel Hughes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gabriel Hughes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 55%Slider 15%Sweeper 12%Changeup 7%Curveball 6%Sinker 4%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gabriel Hughes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 562 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JB JJ Bleday LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.