PITCHER MATCHUP

Gabriel Hughes vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gabriel Hughes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gabriel Hughes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Changeup 12%Curveball 10%Slider 9%Sinker 9%Sweeper 8%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gabriel Hughes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .381
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .429 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-01 game page →