PITCHER MATCHUP

Gabriel Hughes vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gabriel Hughes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gabriel Hughes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .271vs RHH xwOBA .197Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 55%Slider 10%Changeup 10%Curveball 10%Sweeper 9%Sinker 5%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gabriel Hughes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 590 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 591 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CK Christian Koss RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VB Victor Bericoto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Bericoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 OB Osleivis Basabe RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Osleivis Basabe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →