PITCHER MATCHUP

Gabriel Hughes vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gabriel Hughes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gabriel Hughes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Curveball 12%Changeup 11%Sinker 11%Slider 9%Sweeper 8%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gabriel Hughes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MC Matt Chapman RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Chapman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CK Christian Koss RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.