PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 22%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-24 game page →