PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 22%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 3%CS 2%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.