PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-26 game page →