PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-04 game page →