PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.