PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 22%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 3%CS 2%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.