PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 615 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.