PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 11%CS 2%Sweeper 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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