PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 AB Alec Bohm RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.