PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 11%CS 2%Sweeper 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-20 game page →