PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 703 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.