PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .270
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →