PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 22%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 3%CS 2%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .266
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Christian Encarnacion-Strand RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Encarnacion-Strand
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.