PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Changeup 22%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Coby Mayo RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.