PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Changeup 22%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .331
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .405
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .449 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.