PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Juan Soto LHB .410
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .458 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-01 game page →