PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Changeup 22%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.