PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.