PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-31 game page →