PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 11%CS 2%Sweeper 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 565 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DS Dominic Smith LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.