PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 663 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.