PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Changeup 22%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.