PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MO Matt Olson LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MH Michael Harris II LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.