PITCHER MATCHUP
Freddy Peralta vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Freddy Peralta's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Sweeper 2%CS 2%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .314
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .358
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GS George Springer RHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
- Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MS Myles Straw RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.