PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Changeup 22%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Josh Smith LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.