PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 22%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 3%CS 2%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.