PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Changeup 21%Curveball 12%Slider 11%CS 2%Sweeper 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-01 game page →