PITCHER MATCHUP

Freddy Peralta vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Freddy Peralta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Freddy Peralta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Changeup 22%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 2%CS 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Freddy Peralta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .397
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.