PITCHER MATCHUP

Eury Pérez vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eury Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eury Pérez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 18%Sweeper 12%Changeup 9%Sinker 9%Curveball 7%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eury Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .217 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DM Dane Myers RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →