PITCHER MATCHUP

Eury Pérez vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eury Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eury Pérez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 18%Sweeper 12%Changeup 9%Sinker 8%Curveball 8%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eury Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HD Henry Davis RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JG Jacob Gonzalez LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Gonzalez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-11 game page →