PITCHER MATCHUP
Eury Pérez vs Pittsburgh Pirates
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eury Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Eury Pérez's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .290vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Slider 19%Sweeper 11%Sinker 11%Changeup 8%Curveball 8%
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eury Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
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1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 567 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JM Jake Mangum SH .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.