PITCHER MATCHUP

Eury Pérez vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eury Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eury Pérez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 19%Sweeper 11%Sinker 10%Changeup 9%Curveball 7%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eury Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .225 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SS Sung-Mun Song LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sung-Mun Song
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.