PITCHER MATCHUP

Ethan Roberts vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ethan Roberts's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ethan Roberts's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .371vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 45%Cutter 41%Sinker 14%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ethan Roberts, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.