PITCHER MATCHUP

Ethan Roberts vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ethan Roberts's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ethan Roberts's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .371vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 45%Cutter 41%Sinker 14%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ethan Roberts, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Sweeper (45% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (41% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-21 game page →