PITCHER MATCHUP

Ethan Pecko vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ethan Pecko's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ethan Pecko's arsenal

Throws RHPSeasons 2026
Sinker 29%Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 15%Curveball 14%Sweeper 8%Changeup 7%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ethan Pecko, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .336
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .376
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .428 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .372
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 556 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC José Caballero RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.