PITCHER MATCHUP

Ethan Pecko vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ethan Pecko's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ethan Pecko's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .501Seasons 2026
Sinker 28%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Sweeper 17%Cutter 16%Curveball 11%Changeup 5%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ethan Pecko, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 625 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .220 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-05 game page →