PITCHER MATCHUP

Erick Fedde vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Erick Fedde's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Erick Fedde's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 31%Sweeper 29%Cutter 25%Changeup 13%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Erick Fedde, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BW Ben Williamson RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-31 game page →