PITCHER MATCHUP

Erick Fedde vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Erick Fedde's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Erick Fedde's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .365vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 31%Sweeper 29%Cutter 26%Changeup 13%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Erick Fedde, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CM Coby Mayo RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AR Adley Rutschman SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Colton Cowser LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-30 game page →