PITCHER MATCHUP

Erick Fedde vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Erick Fedde's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Erick Fedde's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .362vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 32%Sinker 31%Cutter 24%Changeup 12%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Erick Fedde, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Coby Mayo RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.