PITCHER MATCHUP

Erick Fedde vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Erick Fedde's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Erick Fedde's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 31%Sweeper 30%Cutter 24%Changeup 13%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Erick Fedde, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .371
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.