PITCHER MATCHUP

Erick Fedde vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Erick Fedde's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Erick Fedde's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .362vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 32%Sinker 31%Cutter 24%Changeup 12%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Erick Fedde, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.