PITCHER MATCHUP

Erick Fedde vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Erick Fedde's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Erick Fedde's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 31%Sweeper 29%Cutter 25%Changeup 13%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Erick Fedde, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .377
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-26 game page →