PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Cutter 19%Curveball 14%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BB Byron Buxton RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BL Brooks Lee SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-22 game page →