PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Cutter 19%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.