PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Cutter 21%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KC Kody Clemens SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RL Royce Lewis RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BB Byron Buxton RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.