PITCHER MATCHUP
Eric Lauer vs Minnesota Twins
How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Eric Lauer's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Cutter 21%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%
How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .312
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1 BL Brooks Lee SH .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 JB Josh Bell SH .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KC Kody Clemens SH .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 VC Victor Caratini SH .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 AM Austin Martin RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.