PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Cutter 19%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EJ Edouard Julien LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edouard Julien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.