PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Cutter 21%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.