PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Cutter 20%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CN Connor Norby RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CC Cole Carrigg SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BS Brett Sullivan LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Sullivan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.