PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Cutter 21%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .255
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.