PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Cutter 19%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .263
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BW Ben Williamson RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.