PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Cutter 19%Curveball 14%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NF Nick Fortes RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .268
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.