PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Cutter 21%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.