PITCHER MATCHUP
Eric Lauer vs Philadelphia Phillies
How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Eric Lauer's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Cutter 21%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%
How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 TT Trea Turner RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .359
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.