PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Cutter 19%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-22 game page →