PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Cutter 21%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 554 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 629 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.