PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Cutter 19%Curveball 14%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LR Luke Raley LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-29 game page →