PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Cutter 21%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.