PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Cutter 19%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MB Michael Busch LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-05 game page →