PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Cutter 21%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 618 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.