PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Cutter 21%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 PR Pedro Ramírez SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Matt Shaw RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Shaw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GA Gabriel Arias RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Arias
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.