PITCHER MATCHUP

Eric Lauer vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eric Lauer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eric Lauer's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Cutter 21%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Slider 10%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eric Lauer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NC Nathan Church LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JF José Fermín RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BT Bryan Torres LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TS Thomas Saggese RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Thomas Saggese
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-01 game page →