PITCHER MATCHUP

Emmet Sheehan vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emmet Sheehan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emmet Sheehan's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 31%Changeup 17%Curveball 9%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emmet Sheehan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .302
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-02 game page →