PITCHER MATCHUP

Emmet Sheehan vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emmet Sheehan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emmet Sheehan's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 30%Changeup 16%Curveball 10%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emmet Sheehan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.