PITCHER MATCHUP

Emmet Sheehan vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emmet Sheehan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emmet Sheehan's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 31%Changeup 16%Curveball 9%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emmet Sheehan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.