PITCHER MATCHUP

Emmet Sheehan vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emmet Sheehan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emmet Sheehan's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 30%Changeup 16%Curveball 10%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emmet Sheehan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.