PITCHER MATCHUP

Emmet Sheehan vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emmet Sheehan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emmet Sheehan's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 31%Changeup 16%Curveball 8%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emmet Sheehan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF Ty France RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RD Rodolfo Durán RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rodolfo Durán
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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