PITCHER MATCHUP
Emmet Sheehan vs Miami Marlins
How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emmet Sheehan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Emmet Sheehan's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 30%Changeup 16%Curveball 10%
How the Miami Marlins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emmet Sheehan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .280
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 JM Joe Mack LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .366
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.