PITCHER MATCHUP

Emerson Hancock vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emerson Hancock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emerson Hancock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sinker 29%Sweeper 12%Changeup 12%Cutter 7%Slider 5%Curveball 2%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emerson Hancock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO James Outman LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Outman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .212 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-04 game page →