PITCHER MATCHUP

Emerson Hancock vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emerson Hancock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emerson Hancock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 28%Sweeper 12%Changeup 11%Cutter 8%Slider 4%Curveball 2%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emerson Hancock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.