PITCHER MATCHUP

Emerson Hancock vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emerson Hancock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emerson Hancock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 28%Sweeper 12%Changeup 11%Cutter 8%Slider 4%Curveball 2%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emerson Hancock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.